World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 11, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mike Gaspard 17' goal
  • Lindsay Rose 43' goal
  • Adel Langue 65' yellowcard
  • Jason Ferre 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lindo Mkhonta 50'
  • goal Andy Junior Magagula 66'
  • yellowcard Neliso Dlamini 85'

Mauritius vs Eswatini - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 6, 2024 5.00pm
Libya 2 - 1 Mauritius

Eswatini

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 7, 2024 5.00pm
Angola 1 - 0 Eswatini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Mauritius 30.08% ▼ (-0.34)
Draw 29.24% ▼ (-0.12)
Eswatini 40.68% ▲ (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.23% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.64% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 2.5 63.36% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 17.28% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 82.73% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 4.5 6.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 93.18% ▼ (-0.11)

Mauritius Goals

Over 0.5 62.29% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 37.71% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 25.51% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 74.49% ▲ (+0.11)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5 69.41% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 30.59% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 33.17% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 66.83% ▼ (-0.47)

Score analysis

Mauritius 30.08%
Draw 29.23%
Eswatini 40.67%
Mauritius
1-0 @ 11.25% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 30.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.32% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 11.53% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.23%
Eswatini
0-1 @ 13.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 40.67%

Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
Jul 6, 2022 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
  • Frederic Sarah 88' yellowcard
  • goal Lindo Mkhonta 9'
  • goal Fanelo Mamba 76'
  • goal Sabelo Ndzinisa 85'