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World Cup

Libya national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
28 March Stadium
Mauritius national football team

Libya
2 - 1
Mauritius

Al Badri (20' pen.), Ekrawa (40')
Bin Ali (32'), Mukhtar Al Shremi (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bru (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Libya and Mauritius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Libya

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Libya
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Mauritius

Last Game: Mauritius 1-2 Chad
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.67%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.25%), while for a Mauritius win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Libya would win this match.

Result
LibyaDrawMauritius
68.88% (0.348 0.35)20.99% (-0.167 -0.17)10.13% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 35.1% (-0.159 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (0.153 0.15)57.47% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73% (0.12 0.12)78.27% (-0.12 -0.12)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (0.16800000000001 0.17)15.87% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.92% (0.309 0.31)45.07% (-0.308 -0.31)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.71% (-0.273 -0.27)58.28% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.25% (-0.148 -0.15)89.75% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Libya 68.88%
    Mauritius 10.13%
    Draw 20.99%
LibyaDrawMauritius
1-0 @ 17.02%
2-0 @ 15.67% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 9.62% (0.109 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.43% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 68.88%
0-0 @ 9.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 2.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.99%
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.48% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 10.13%

How you voted: Libya vs Mauritius

Libya
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Mauritius
16.7%
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