Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro
Guinea-Bissau1 - 2Mozambique
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eswatini 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Mali
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
We said: Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Mozambique
Guinea-Bissau will need to be fully up for the clash as only a win would see them make it through to the 2025 AFCON. The onus is undeniably more on the home side, and we can see them getting the job done in front of their fans, albeit only just. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Mozambique |
31.16% ( 0.61) | 29.45% ( 0.63) | 39.38% ( -1.24) |
| Both teams to score 43.05% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
