Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro

Guinea-Bissau
1 - 2
Mozambique

Beto (42')
Rofino Gordo (14'), Augusto Dabo (37')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Langa (9'), Ratifo (52')
Nanani (37'), Ernan (41'), Catamo (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea-Bissau and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eswatini 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Mozambique

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Mali
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Mozambique
31.16% ( 0.61)	29.45% ( 0.63)	39.38% ( -1.24)

Both teams to score 43.05% (

-1.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.24% (

-1.9)

63.75% (

1.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.99% (

-1.38)

83.01% (

1.38)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89% (

-0.58)

37.1% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.11% (

-0.58)

73.89% (

0.58)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.44% (

-1.69)

31.56% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.04% (

-1.99)

67.95% (

1.99)

Score Analysis

Guinea-Bissau 31.15%

Mozambique 39.38%

Draw 29.43%

Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.8% Total : 31.15%	1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.79) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.43%	0-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.94% Total : 39.38%