Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
Eswatini0 - 3Mozambique
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Eswatini had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.42%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Eswatini win was 1-0 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Mozambique |
| 33.44% ( | 29.63% ( | 36.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36% ( | 63.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.82% ( | 83.18% ( |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.43% ( | 35.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.66% ( | 72.33% ( |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.78% ( | 33.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.18% ( | 69.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
Eswatini 33.44%
Mozambique 36.93%
Draw 29.63%
| Eswatini | Draw | Mozambique |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 2-0 @ 6.31% ( 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 3-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 33.44% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0-0 @ 11.81% ( 2-2 @ 3.83% ( Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.63% | 0-1 @ 13.02% ( 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 2-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.93% |
How you voted: Eswatini vs Mozambique
Eswatini
33.3%Draw
18.5%Mozambique
48.1%27
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 2pm
Jun 29, 2024 11am
Group Stage
Mozambique
0-0
Eswatini
Domingos (90+2')
Manyisa (45+1'), Owa Matsebula (66'), Thwala (87')
May 24, 2022 2pm
International Friendly
Mozambique
0-1
Eswatini
Jul 18, 2021 11am
Third-Place Playoff
Eswatini
1-1
Mozambique
(Aggregate 1-1 | Mozambique win 4-2 on penalties)
Mkhontfo (89')
Magagula (42')
Magagula (42')
Form Guide


