Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mali in this match.

Result
Eswatini	Draw	Mali
20.58% ( 0.1)	27.96% ( 0)	51.46% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 39.3% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.45% (

0.07)

64.55% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.42% (

0.05)

83.57% (

-0.05)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.78% (

0.15)

47.22% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.35% (

0.11)

82.65% (

-0.11)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

-0.02)

25.54% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

-0.02)

60.4% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Eswatini 20.58%

Mali 51.46%

Draw 27.96%

Eswatini	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 20.58%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 16.46% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 11.23% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.9% Total : 51.46%