World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 2pm UK

FNB Stadium

Madagascar
0 - 0
Mali

Amada (39'), Patrick Laiton (90+8')

Fofana (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Madagascar and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Comoros
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Mali

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mali 1-2 Ghana
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 46.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.47%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Madagascar	Draw	Mali
23.47% ( -0.35)	29.73% ( 0.02)	46.8% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 38.19% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.46% (

-0.25)

67.54% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.37% (

-0.16)

85.63% (

0.17)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.03% (

-0.49)

45.97% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.3% (

-0.38)

81.7% (

0.39)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7% (

0.05)

29.3% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

0.06)

65.27% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Madagascar 23.46%

Mali 46.79%

Draw 29.73%

Madagascar	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.59% Total : 23.46%	0-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.13) 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.73%	0-1 @ 16.53% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 10.14% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 46.79%