World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade 26 Mars

Mali
1 - 2
Ghana

Doumbia (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nuamah (58'), Ayew (90+4')
Owusu (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mali and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mali 2-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Ghana

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 2-2 Ghana
Tuesday, March 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Mali	Draw	Ghana
54.91% ( 1.22)	24.45% ( -0.36)	20.63% ( -0.86)

Both teams to score 48.28% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.21% (

0.45)

52.78% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.58% (

0.38)

74.41% (

-0.39)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.86% (

0.65)

19.13% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.22% (

1.07)

50.78% (

-1.07)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.7% (

-0.64)

40.29% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.08% (

-0.58)

76.92% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Mali 54.91%

Ghana 20.63%

Draw 24.44%

Mali	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.91%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.29% Total : 20.63%