/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog_2.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fghalog.png)
-
Kamory Doumbia
45'+1'
-
Ernest Nuamah
58'
-
Elisha Owusu
86'
-
Jordan Ayew
90'+4'
Mali vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F03%2Fmali.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result
Mali
54.91%
▲
(+1.22)
Draw
24.45%
▼
(-0.37)
Ghana
20.63%
▼
(-0.87)
Both Teams to Score:
48.28%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.21%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 2.5
52.78%
▼
(-0.46)
Over 3.5
25.58%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 3.5
74.41%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 4.5
11.73%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 4.5
88.26%
▼
(-0.25)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5
80.86%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 0.5
19.13%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 1.5
49.22%
▲
(+1.07)
Under 1.5
50.78%
▼
(-1.08)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5
59.7%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 0.5
40.29%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 1.5
23.08%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 1.5
76.92%
▲
(+0.58)
Score analysis
Mali
54.91%
Draw
24.44%
Ghana
20.63%
Mali
1-0
@
12.75%
▲
(+0.04)
2-0 @ 10.54% ▲ (+0.24)
2-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 54.91%
2-0 @ 10.54% ▲ (+0.24)
2-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 54.91%
Draw
1-1
@
11.58%
▼
(-0.17)
0-0 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.44%
0-0 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.44%
Ghana
0-1
@
7.01%
▼
(-0.25)
1-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 20.63%