World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade 26 Mars

Mali
1 - 2
Ghana

Doumbia (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nuamah (58'), Ayew (90+4')
Owusu (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mali and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mali 2-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Ghana

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 2-2 Ghana
Tuesday, March 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Mali	Draw	Ghana
54.91% ( 1.22)	24.45% ( -0.36)	20.63% ( -0.86)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Mali	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.91%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.29% Total : 20.63%