Friendlies 1

Mar 26, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade de Marrakech

Uganda
2 - 2
Ghana

Mukwala (23' pen.), Shaban (82')
Mato (69'), Aliro (90+3'), Aliro (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Opoku (7'), Ayew (28' pen.)
Addo (8'), Addo (8'), Annan (21'), Ayew (60'), Salisu (69')
Salisu (89'), Seidu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Uganda and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Comoros 4-0 Uganda
Friday, March 22 at 9.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Ghana

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Ghana
Friday, March 22 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Uganda win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Uganda	Draw	Ghana
29.87% ( -0.21)	28.76% ( -0.26)	41.36% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 44.39% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.12% (

0.79)

61.88% (

-0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.35% (

0.58)

81.64% (

-0.58)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.93% (

0.27)

37.06% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.14% (

0.26)

73.85% (

-0.27)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

0.66)

29.46% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.53% (

0.8)

65.46% (

-0.8)

Score Analysis

Uganda 29.86%

Ghana 41.36%

Draw 28.75%

Uganda	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 29.86%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.75%	0-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.49% Total : 41.36%