Friendlies 3

Mar 22, 2024 at 10pm UK

Stade de Marrakech

Mali
2 - 0
Mauritania

Sagnan (9'), Bilal Toure (12')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Mali and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mali 1-2 Ivory Coast
Saturday, February 3 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Mauritania

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Mauritania
Monday, January 29 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.94%) and 3-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
Mali	Draw	Mauritania
66.61% ( -0.18)	21.92% ( 0.11)	11.47% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 36.73% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.24% (

-0.21)

57.76% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.5% (

-0.16)

78.5% (

0.17)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.27% (

-0.13)

16.73% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.35% (

-0.24)

46.65% (

0.25)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.12% (

0.01)

55.89% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.6% (

88.4% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Mali 66.6%

Mauritania 11.47%

Draw 21.92%

Mali	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 16.71% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 14.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 66.6%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.92%	0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 11.47%