Mozambique2 - 1Guinea-Bissau
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Mozambique 2-1 Guinea-Bissau
If history is anything to go by, then we can expect an entertaining clash in this one with both teams looking to build on their opening results. We are also tipping Mozambique to give their fans reason to celebrate by claiming all three points come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mozambique in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mozambique.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
40.02% ( 0.3) | 27.49% ( -0.16) | 32.49% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
