Mozambique vs Botswana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.