Somalia vs Botswana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 14.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.51%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Somalia win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botswana would win this match.