World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 10, 2024 at 2pm UK

Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto

Somalia
1 - 3
Botswana

Hassan (74')
Ali (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sesinyi (10'), Gaolaolwe (53'), Seakanyeng (71' pen.)
Ramotse (50'), Phoko (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Somalia and Botswana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Somalia

Last Game: Mozambique 2-1 Somalia
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Botswana

Last Game: Uganda 1-0 Botswana
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 14.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.51%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Somalia win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botswana would win this match.

Result
Somalia	Draw	Botswana
14.45% ( 0.1)	23.7% ( 0.13)	61.85% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 39.54% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.57% (

-0.26)

58.43% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.98% (

-0.2)

79.02% (

0.2)

Somalia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.61% (

-0)

51.38% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.4%

85.6%

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.34% (

-0.18)

18.66% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.01% (

-0.31)

49.99% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Somalia 14.45%

Botswana 61.84%

Draw 23.69%

Somalia	Draw	Botswana
1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 14.45%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 23.69%	0-1 @ 16.09% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 13.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.56% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 61.84%