World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 7, 2024 at 2pm UK

Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto

Mozambique
2 - 1
Somalia

Amade (14'), Ratifo (29')
Ratifo (55'), Ali (55'), Gigli (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Shirwa (66')
Catamo (55'), Abdullahi (55'), Ali (90+2'), Gigli (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mozambique and Somalia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mozambique 2-2 Ghana
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Somalia

Last Game: Eswatini 2-2 Somalia
Tuesday, March 26 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 80.69%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 6.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.7%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Somalia
80.69% ( 0.01)	12.94% ( -0)	6.36% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 43.6% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.34% (

-0.01)

35.66% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.28% (

-0.02)

57.72% (

0.01)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.16% (

-0)

6.83% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.83% (

-0)

25.17%

Somalia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.8% (

-0.03)

53.2% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.22% (

-0.02)

86.78% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Mozambique 80.67%

Somalia 6.36%

Draw 12.94%

Mozambique	Draw	Somalia
2-0 @ 13.08% 3-0 @ 11.7% 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.96% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.22% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.84% Total : 80.67%	1-1 @ 6.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.61% ( -0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.94%	0-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 6.36%