World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 7, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de la Reunification

Uganda
1 - 0
Botswana

Shaban (74')
Lwaliwa (44'), Mato (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kopelang (59'), Ditlhokwe (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Uganda and Botswana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 2-2 Ghana
Tuesday, March 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Botswana

Last Game: Burundi 0-0 Botswana
Monday, March 25 at 10am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (12.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uganda.

Result
Uganda	Draw	Botswana
37.38% ( -0.12)	29.6% ( 0.02)	33.02% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 43.06% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.06% (

-0.04)

63.93% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.86% (

-0.02)

83.14% (

0.02)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1% (

-0.09)

32.89% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.53% (

-0.1)

69.47% (

0.1)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.16% (

0.05)

35.83% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.39% (

0.05)

72.61% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Uganda 37.37%

Botswana 33.01%

Draw 29.59%

Uganda	Draw	Botswana
1-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.37%	1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.59%	0-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 33.01%