World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 7, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Reunification
  • Halid Lwaliwa 44' yellowcard
  • Muhammad Shaban 74' goal
  • Rogers Mato 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tebogo Kopelang 59'
  • yellowcard Thatayaone Ditlhokwe 86'

Uganda vs Botswana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 1.00pm
Somalia 0 - 1 Uganda

Botswana

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 1.00pm
Botswana 1 - 0 Guinea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (12.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uganda.

Result

Uganda 37.38% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 29.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Botswana 33.02% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.06% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 63.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 16.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 83.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 6.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 93.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5 67.1% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 32.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 30.53% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 69.47% ▲ (+0.10)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5 64.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 35.83% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 27.39% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 72.61% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Uganda 37.37%
Draw 29.59%
Botswana 33.01%
Uganda
1-0 @ 13.1% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.59%
Botswana
0-1 @ 12.09% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 33.01%