Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.