World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi

Guinea
0 - 1
Mozambique

FT(HT: 0-0)

Catamo (90+3' pen.)
Amade (63'), Miguel Neves Santos (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Guinea and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 1-2 Guinea
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Mozambique

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mozambique 2-1 Somalia
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Mozambique
66.97% ( -0.37)	20.54% ( 0.04)	12.49% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 43.14% (

0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.39% (

0.57)

50.61% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.47% (

0.5)

72.52% (

-0.51)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.77% (

0.07)

14.22% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.04% (

0.13)

41.96% (

-0.14)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.29% (

0.91)

49.71% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.54% (

0.63)

84.45% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Guinea 66.96%

Mozambique 12.49%

Draw 20.54%

Guinea	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 13.78% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 66.96%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.54% Total : 20.54%	0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 12.49%