World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 10, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
  • yellowcard Alfons Amade 63'
  • yellowcard Pedro Miguel Neves Santos 81'
  • goal Geny Catamo 90'+3'

Guinea vs Mozambique - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 6, 2024 8.00pm
Algeria 1 - 2 Guinea

Mozambique

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 7, 2024 2.00pm
Mozambique 2 - 1 Somalia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Guinea 66.97% (-0.37)
Draw 20.54% (+0.04)
Mozambique 12.49% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.14% (+0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.39% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 50.61% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 27.47% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 72.52% (-0.51)
Over 4.5 12.96% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 87.03% (-0.34)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 85.77% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 14.22% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 58.04% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 41.96% (-0.14)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 50.29% (+0.92)
Under 0.5 49.71% (-0.92)
Over 1.5 15.54% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 84.45% (-0.64)

Score analysis

Guinea 66.96%
Draw 20.54%
Mozambique 12.49%
Guinea
1-0 @ 13.78% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 13.44% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 9.4% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 8.74% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 6.11% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 4.26% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.98% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (+0.08)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 66.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.64% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.29% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 20.54%
Mozambique
0-1 @ 4.94% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.37% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 1.73% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 12.49%