Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 71.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.5%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.