World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Nelson Mandela

Algeria
1 - 2
Guinea

Balde (52' og.)
Mandi (32'), Gouiri (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sylla (50'), Camara (63')
Guirassy (45+2'), Toure (81'), Kone (84'), Camara (90+9'), Camara (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Algeria and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 3-3 South Africa
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Guinea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea 5-1 Bermuda
Monday, March 25 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 71.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 9.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.5%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Guinea
71.71% ( -0.52)	18.36% ( 0.15)	9.93% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 41.42% (

0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.87% (

0.45)

48.12% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.71% (

0.41)

70.28% (

-0.41)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92% (

-0.02)

12.08% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.39% (

-0.03)

37.61% (

0.04)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.11% (

1.06)

52.88% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.42% (

0.67)

86.57% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Algeria 71.71%

Guinea 9.93%

Draw 18.36%

Algeria	Draw	Guinea
2-0 @ 14.27% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 13.5% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.9% Total : 71.71%	1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.47% Total : 18.36%	0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.82% Total : 9.93%