South Africa
1 - 1
Mozambique

Wayne Dortley (39')
Brendon Moloisane (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Labarina Alfandega (65')
Domingos (54'), Dario (74')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between South Africa and Mozambique.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Last Game: South Africa 3-1 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Mozambique

All competitions

Last Game: Guinea 0-1 Mozambique
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Mozambique
51.88%	26.68%	21.43%

Both teams to score 43.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.1%

59.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.84%

80.16%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72%

23.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.79%

57.21%

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.45%

43.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.25%

79.75%

Score Analysis

South Africa 51.87%

Mozambique 21.43%

Draw 26.67%

South Africa	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 14.77% 2-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 4.35% 4-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.5% Total : 51.87%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.03% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.43%