Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 11, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto
  • Pedro Miguel Neves Santos 26' yellowcard
  • Stanley Ratifo 74' goal
  • yellowcard Lindo Mkhonta 21'
  • yellowcard Mcolisi Simiso Manana 52'
  • goal Thubelihle Mavuso 80'

Mozambique vs Eswatini - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 2.00pm
Mozambique 2 - 1 Guinea-Bissau

Eswatini

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 2.00pm
Eswatini 0 - 1 Mali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Mozambique 45.59% (-0.03)
Draw 28.69% (+0.03)
Eswatini 25.72% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.3% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.67% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 63.33% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 17.29% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 82.7% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 6.83% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 93.17% (+0.04)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 72.13% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 27.87% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 36.52% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 63.48% (+0.08)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5 58.65% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 41.35% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 22.13% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 77.87% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Mozambique 45.58%
Draw 28.68%
Eswatini 25.72%
Mozambique
1-0 @ 14.72% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 45.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 13% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.52% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.68%
Eswatini
0-1 @ 10.17% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 25.72%

Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
Jun 29, 2024 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wolfson Stadium
  • Fernando Domingos 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leon Manyisa 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Bongwa Owa Matsebula 66'
  • yellowcard Kwakhe Thwala 87'
International Friendlies
May 24, 2022 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
COSAFA Cup
Jul 18, 2021 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • Martinho 39' goal
  • Candinho 70' yellowcard
  • Danilo Muze 80' yellowcard
  • Shaquille 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sikhumbuzo Magagula 42'
  • goal Khethokuhle Mkhontfo 89'