Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2024 at 4pm UK

Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto

Mozambique
0 - 1
Mali

Nene (25'), Mandava (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Doumbia (19')
Camara (23'), Diarra (90+7'), Bissouma (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mozambique and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eswatini 0-3 Mozambique
Monday, October 14 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Mali

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mali in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mali.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Mali
26.38% ( -0.03)	29.04% ( -0.03)	44.58% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 41.88% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.91% (

0.08)

64.09% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.75% (

0.06)

83.25% (

-0.06)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.79% (

0.02)

41.2% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.26% (

0.02)

77.74% (

-0.02)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

0.08)

28.77% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.38% (

0.09)

64.62% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Mozambique 26.37%

Mali 44.57%

Draw 29.03%

Mozambique	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.24% Total : 26.37%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.03%	0-1 @ 14.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 44.57%