Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Nov 15, 2024 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto
  • Nene 25' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 54' yellowcard
  • goal Kamory Doumbia 19'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Camara 23'
  • yellowcard Djigui Diarra 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma 90'+9'

Mozambique vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 14, 2024 8.00pm
Eswatini 0 - 3 Mozambique

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 5.00pm
Guinea-Bissau 0 - 0 Mali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mali in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mali.

Result

Mozambique 26.38% (-0.03)
Draw 29.04% (-0.03)
Mali 44.58% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.88% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.91% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 64.09% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 16.75% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 83.25% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 6.54% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 93.46% (-0.04)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 58.79% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 41.2% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 22.26% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.74% (-0.02)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 71.23% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 28.77% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 35.38% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 64.62% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Mozambique 26.37%
Draw 29.03%
Mali 44.57%
Mozambique
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 26.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.09% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.85% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.62% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.03%
Mali
0-1 @ 14.76% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.2% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.82% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.39% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 44.57%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 6, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade 26 Mars
  • Yves Bissouma 52' goal
  • Salim Diakite 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Guimaraes 28'
  • goal Geny Catamo 37'
  • yellowcard Ernan 81'
African Nations Championship
Jan 19, 2014 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Cape Town
  • Josemar 38' goal
  • Joao Mazive 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ibourahima Sidibe 48'
  • goal Idrissa Traore 90'