Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgbilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog_2.png)
-
Bura Nogueira
31'
-
Fode Doucoure
76'
-
Abdoulaye Diaby
84'
-
Salim Diakite
85'
Guinea-Bissau vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Fbissouma.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 63.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.08%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.65%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result
Guinea-Bissau
12.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
24.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Mali
63.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
33.41%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.37%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
63.63%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
17.08%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
82.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
6.72%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
93.28%
▲
(+0.02)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5
41.77%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
58.23%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
10.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
89.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5
79.99%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
20.01%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
47.79%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
52.21%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Guinea-Bissau
12.16%
Draw
24.21%
Mali
63.61%
Guinea-Bissau
1-0
@
6.3%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.16%
2-1 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.16%
Draw
0-0
@
11.65%
▲
(+0.02)
1-1 @ 10.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.21%
1-1 @ 10.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.21%
Mali
0-1
@
18.74%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 15.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.09%
1-3 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 63.61%
0-2 @ 15.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.09%
1-3 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 63.61%
Head to Head
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
-
El Bilal Toure
62'
-
Jefferson Encada
29'
-
Mama Balde
64'
-
Bura Nogueira
68'
International Friendlies
-
Youssoufou Niakate
6'
-
Lassana Coulibaly
15'
-
33'
-
Kamory Doumbia
40'
-
Nene Dorgeles
68'
-
Falaye Sacko
75'
-
Nene Dorgeles
85'
-
Mama Balde
37'
-
Carlos Mane
42'
-
45'