Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.