Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 13, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)

Chad
1 - 1
Sierra Leone

Thiam (34' pen.)
Ngouyamsa (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dumbuya (29')
Koroma (31'), Abdul (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Chad and Sierra Leone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chad

Last Game: Chad 0-1 Zambia
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Sierra Leone

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Sierra Leone 1-0 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Chad had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Chad win was 1-0 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Chad	Draw	Sierra Leone
31.59% ( -0.01)	29.57%	38.84% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 42.85% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.95% (

0.01)

64.05% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.78% (

83.22% (

-0)

Chad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.05% (

36.95% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.27% (

73.73% (

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

0.01)

32.05% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.49% (

0.01)

68.51% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Chad 31.58%

Sierra Leone 38.84%

Draw 29.57%

Chad	Draw	Sierra Leone
1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.83% Total : 31.58%	1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.84% 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.57%	0-1 @ 13.47% 0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 38.84%