Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 11, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
  • yellowcard Ahmad Ngouyamsa 19'
  • goal 33'
  • yellowcard Haroun Tchaouna 77'
  • yellowcard Wiliam Damba 80'

Zambia vs Chad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 8.00pm
Zambia 3 - 2 Sierra Leone

Chad

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 8.00pm
Chad 0 - 2 Ivory Coast

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Chad had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Zambia 60.91% (-0.04)
Draw 24.15% (+0.01)
Chad 14.94% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.47% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.85% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 59.15% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 20.41% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 79.58% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 8.57% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 91.42% (-0.02)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 80.71% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.29% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.97% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.03% (+0.01)

Chad Goals

Over 0.5 48.9% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 51.1% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 14.59% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 85.41% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Zambia 60.89%
Draw 24.15%
Chad 14.94%
Zambia
1-0 @ 16.21% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 13.34% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.96% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.32% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 60.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 24.15%
Chad
0-1 @ 6.62% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.66% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 14.94%