Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Chad had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.