Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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Charles Tchouplaou
56'
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Kennedy Musonda
70'
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Kelvin Kampamba
80'
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Joseph Sabobo Banda
82'
Chad vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Chad had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.18%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zambia in this match.
Result
Chad
15.64%
▼
(-0.54)
Draw
25.14%
▼
(-0.57)
Zambia
59.22%
▲
(+1.10)
Both Teams to Score:
38.49%
▲
(+0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5
38.69%
▲
(+1.04)
Under 2.5
61.3%
▼
(-1.04)
Over 3.5
18.78%
▲
(+0.77)
Under 3.5
81.22%
▼
(-0.77)
Over 4.5
7.64%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 4.5
92.35%
▼
(-0.43)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5
48.59%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
51.41%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
14.38%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
85.62%
▲
(+0.08)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5
79.21%
▲
(+0.87)
Under 0.5
20.79%
▼
(-0.87)
Over 1.5
46.55%
▲
(+1.35)
Under 1.5
53.44%
▼
(-1.35)
Score analysis
Chad
15.64%
Draw
25.13%
Zambia
59.21%
Chad
1-0
@
7.11%
▼
(-0.31)
2-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 15.64%
2-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 15.64%
Draw
1-1
@
11.17%
▼
(-0.17)
0-0 @ 10.68% ▼ (-0.43)
2-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 25.13%
0-0 @ 10.68% ▼ (-0.43)
2-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 25.13%
Zambia
0-1
@
16.78%
▼
(-0.21)
0-2 @ 13.18% ▲ (+0.18)
1-2 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.28)
1-3 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.17)
0-4 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.18)
1-4 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 59.21%
0-2 @ 13.18% ▲ (+0.18)
1-2 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.28)
1-3 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.17)
0-4 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.18)
1-4 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 59.21%