Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Ibrahim Sillah
14'
-
Tyrese Fornah
50'
-
Yeami Dunia
59'
-
Emmanuel Banda
31'
-
Emmanuel Banda
55'
-
Kennedy Musonda
71'
Sierra Leone vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
Result
Sierra Leone
26.66%
▲
(+0.40)
Draw
26.56%
▲
(+0.59)
Zambia
46.78%
▼
(-0.98)
Both Teams to Score:
48.63%
▼
(-1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.4%
▼
(-1.95)
Under 2.5
55.6%
▲
(+1.95)
Over 3.5
23.24%
▼
(-1.62)
Under 3.5
76.76%
▲
(+1.62)
Over 4.5
10.26%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 4.5
89.74%
▲
(+1.01)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5
63.77%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 0.5
36.22%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 1.5
26.99%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
73.01%
▲
(+0.75)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5
76.25%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 0.5
23.75%
▲
(+1.29)
Over 1.5
42.1%
▼
(-1.88)
Under 1.5
57.9%
▲
(+1.89)
Score analysis
Sierra Leone
26.66%
Draw
26.56%
Zambia
46.77%
Sierra Leone
1-0
@
8.74%
▲
(+0.48)
2-1 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 26.66%
2-1 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 26.66%
Draw
1-1
@
12.56%
▲
(+0.24)
0-0 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.63)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.56%
0-0 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.63)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.56%
Zambia
0-1
@
12.36%
▲
(+0.46)
1-2 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.26)
0-3 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.18)
1-4 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.16)
0-4 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.77%
1-2 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.26)
0-3 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.18)
1-4 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.16)
0-4 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.77%
Head to Head
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
-
Kennedy Musonda
28'
-
Miguel Chaiwa
30'
-
Kelvin Kampamba
70'
-
Kings Kangwa
85'
-
Augustus Kargbo
33'
-
Hindolo Mustapha
73'
-
Hindolo Mustapha
90'+4'