Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Sierra Leone
0 - 2
Zambia

Sillah (14'), Fornah (50'), Dunia (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Banda (55'), Musonda (71')
Banda (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sierra Leone and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Chad 1-1 Sierra Leone
Wednesday, November 13 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Zambia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Zambia 1-0 Ivory Coast
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result
Sierra Leone	Draw	Zambia
26.66% ( 0.4)	26.56% ( 0.58)	46.78% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 48.63% (

-1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.4% (

-1.95)

55.6% (

1.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24% (

-1.62)

76.76% (

1.62)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.77% (

-0.72)

36.22% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.99% (

-0.74)

73.01% (

0.75)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.25% (

-1.28)

23.75% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1% (

-1.88)

57.9% (

1.88)

Score Analysis

Sierra Leone 26.66%

Zambia 46.77%

Draw 26.56%

Sierra Leone	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 26.66%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.77%