Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Nov 15, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
  • Kennedy Musonda 43' goal

Zambia vs Ivory Coast - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 2.00pm
Chad 0 - 1 Zambia

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 5.00pm
Sierra Leone 1 - 0 Ivory Coast

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Zambia win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Zambia 27.99% (-0.02)
Draw 27.56% (-0.01)
Ivory Coast 44.45% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.73% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.52% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 58.48% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 20.93% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 79.07% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 8.88% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 91.12% (-0.01)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 63.3%
Under 0.5 36.7% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 26.52%
Under 1.5 73.48% (+0.01)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 73.81% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 26.19% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.72% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.28% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Zambia 28%
Draw 27.55%
Ivory Coast 44.44%
Zambia
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.47% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.61% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.55%
Ivory Coast
0-1 @ 12.87%
1-2 @ 8.65% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.86% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.85% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 44.44%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 6, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Bouake
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 73' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 84' goal
  • yellowcard Gift Prosper Mphand 33'
  • yellowcard Kabaso Chongo 78'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 17, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
  • Serge Aurier 31' goal
  • Patson Daka 48' goal
  • Kings Kangwa 55' goal
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 3, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ibrahim Sangare 45' yellowcard
  • Serge Aurier 67' goal
  • Christian Kouame 76' goal
  • Willy Boly 81' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sangare 89' goal
  • yellowcard Enock Mwepu 75'
  • yellowcard Fashion Sakala 81'
  • goal Patson Daka 90'+4'
International Friendlies
Jun 19, 2019 1.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Fashion Sakala 13' goal
  • goal Jonathan Kodjia 29'
  • goal Jean Michael Seri 41'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 51'
  • goal Maxwel Cornet 57'
  • goal Wilfried Bony 84'
African Nations Championship
Jan 18, 2018 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kouame Yao 69' yellowcard
  • goal Augustine Mulenga 8'
  • yellowcard Simon Silwimba 71'
  • goal Augustine Mulenga 74'