Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 11, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cairo International Stadium
  • Ramy Rabia 47' yellowcard
  • Trezeguet 69' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 79' goal
  • Marwan Attia 84' yellowcard
  • Trezeguet 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oumar Ngom 51'
  • yellowcard El Hacen Houeibib 51'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Keita 85'

Egypt vs Mauritania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 5.00pm
Botswana 0 - 4 Egypt

Mauritania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 8.00pm
Cape Verde 2 - 0 Mauritania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result

Egypt 63.59% (+2.05)
Draw 22.45% (-0.96)
Mauritania 13.96% (-1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.63% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.09% (+1.56)
Under 2.5 54.91% (-1.55)
Over 3.5 23.81% (+1.27)
Under 3.5 76.2% (-1.27)
Over 4.5 10.61% (+0.78)
Under 4.5 89.39% (-0.78)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 83.24% (+1.29)
Under 0.5 16.76% (-1.28)
Over 1.5 53.3% (+2.24)
Under 1.5 46.7% (-2.24)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5 50.01% (-0.68)
Under 0.5 49.99% (+0.68)
Over 1.5 15.35% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 84.65% (+0.48)

Score analysis

Egypt 63.58%
Draw 22.44%
Mauritania 13.96%
Egypt
1-0 @ 14.96% (-0.27)
2-0 @ 13.36% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 9.27% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 7.96% (+0.51)
3-1 @ 5.52% (+0.26)
4-0 @ 3.55% (+0.37)
4-1 @ 2.46% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 1.91% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.27% (+0.18)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 63.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.41)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.52)
2-2 @ 3.21% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.44%
Mauritania
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.48)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.21)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 13.96%