Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Cairo International Stadium

Egypt
2 - 0
Mauritania

Trezeguet (69'), Salah (79')
Rabia (47'), Attia (84'), Trezeguet (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ngom (51'), Hacen Houeibib (51'), Keita (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Egypt and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Botswana 0-4 Egypt
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Mauritania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Cape Verde 2-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Mauritania
63.59% ( 2.05)	22.45% ( -0.95)	13.96% ( -1.09)

Both teams to score 41.63% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.09% (

1.55)

54.91% (

-1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.81% (

1.27)

76.2% (

-1.26)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.24% (

1.28)

16.76% (

-1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.3% (

2.24)

46.7% (

-2.23)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.01% (

-0.67)

49.99% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.35% (

-0.47)

84.65% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Egypt 63.58%

Mauritania 13.96%

Draw 22.44%

Egypt	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.32% Total : 63.58%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.54% Total : 13.96%