Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde

Cape Verde
2 - 0
Mauritania

Mendes (28' pen., 75')
Pina (24'), Borges (42'), Andrade (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fofana (4'), Mouhsine (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Cape Verde and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Cape Verde
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Mauritania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Botswana
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.94%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.

Result
Cape Verde	Draw	Mauritania
54.49% ( 0.12)	28.89% ( -0.03)	16.63% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 32.47% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.66%

70.34% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.55% (

-0)

87.45% (

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13% (

0.06)

26.87% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.82% (

0.07)

62.18% (

-0.07)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.4% (

-0.11)

55.6% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.76% (

-0.07)

88.24% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Cape Verde 54.49%

Mauritania 16.63%

Draw 28.88%

Cape Verde	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 19.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 54.49%	0-0 @ 14.94% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 28.88%	0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.63%