Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Kevin Pina
24'
-
Ryan Mendes
28'
-
Diney Borges
42'
-
Ryan Mendes
75'
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Patrick Andrade
90'+1'
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Guessouma Fofana
4'
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Bodda Mouhsine
36'
Cape Verde vs Mauritania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.94%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.
Result
Cape Verde
54.49%
▲
(+0.12)
Draw
28.89%
▼
(-0.04)
Mauritania
16.63%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
32.47%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
29.66%
Under 2.5
70.34%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
12.55%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
87.45%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
4.42%
Under 4.5
95.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5
73.13%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
26.87%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
37.82%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
62.18%
▼
(-0.07)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5
44.4%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
55.6%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
11.76%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
88.24%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Cape Verde
54.49%
Draw
28.88%
Mauritania
16.63%
Cape Verde
1-0
@
19.63%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 12.9% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.49%
2-0 @ 12.9% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.49%
Draw
0-0
@
14.94%
▲
(+0.01)
1-1 @ 11.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 28.88%
1-1 @ 11.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 28.88%
Mauritania
0-1
@
8.77%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.63%
1-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.63%
Head to Head
Africa Cup of Nations
-
3'
-
Kevin Pina
11'
-
Ryan Mendes
88'
-
Babacar Niasse
87'