World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde

Cape Verde
1 - 0
Libya

Borges (10')
Rocha (78'), Varela (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mukhtar Al Shremi (25'), Aliaddawi (88'), Al Badri (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Cape Verde and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Cameroon 4-1 Cape Verde
Saturday, June 8 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Libya

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Libya 2-1 Mauritius
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Libya had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match.

Result
Cape Verde	Draw	Libya
39.05% ( 0.05)	29.71% ( 0.04)	31.25% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 42.41% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.46% (

-0.14)

64.54% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.43% (

-0.1)

83.57% (

0.1)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83% (

-0.04)

32.17% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35% (

-0.04)

68.66% (

0.05)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53% (

-0.14)

37.48% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.74% (

-0.14)

74.26% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Cape Verde 39.05%

Libya 31.24%

Draw 29.7%

Cape Verde	Draw	Libya
1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 39.05%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.7%	0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 31.24%