Cape Verde vs Equatorial Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match.