Friendlies 3

Mar 25, 2024 at 7pm UK

Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Cape Verde
1 - 0
Eq Guinea

Cabral (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Cape Verde and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Guyana
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Cambodia
Friday, March 22 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match.

Result
Cape Verde	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
55.96% ( -0.02)	26.39% ( 0.01)	17.66% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 39% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.33% (

0.01)

62.68% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.77% (

82.23% (

-0)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3% (

-0)

22.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.64% (

-0.01)

56.36% (

0.01)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.46% (

0.03)

49.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.66% (

0.02)

84.34% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Cape Verde 55.95%

Equatorial Guinea 17.66%

Draw 26.38%

Cape Verde	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 16.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 55.95%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.66%