Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.