Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Cairo International Stadium

Egypt
3 - 0
Cape Verde

Rabia (23'), Marmoush (45+1'), Adel (70')
Fathi (16'), El Shenawy (80'), Adel (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Duarte (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Egypt and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Egypt
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Cape Verde

All competitions

Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Libya
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Cape Verde
61.07% ( -1.01)	22.37% ( 0.08)	16.56% ( 0.93)

Both teams to score 47.46% (

1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79% (

1.21)

50.21% (

-1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83% (

1.07)

72.17% (

-1.07)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.02% (

0.08)

15.98% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.71% (

0.14)

45.29% (

-0.15)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.48% (

1.95)

43.51% (

-1.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.28% (

1.58)

79.72% (

-1.58)

Score Analysis

Egypt 61.07%

Cape Verde 16.56%

Draw 22.37%

Egypt	Draw	Cape Verde
1-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.6) 2-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 61.07%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.37%	0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.56%