Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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Koketso Majafi
50'
-
Kitso Mangolo
77'
-
Trezeguet
5'
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Trezeguet
29'
-
Mohamed Salah
56'
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Mostafa Fathi
90'+4'
Botswana vs Egypt - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
Result
Botswana
21.51%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
26.71%
▲
(+0.08)
Egypt
51.79%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
43.34%
▼
(-0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.09%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 2.5
59.91%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 3.5
19.83%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 3.5
80.17%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 4.5
8.24%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 4.5
91.76%
▲
(+0.15)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5
56.52%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 0.5
43.48%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 1.5
20.31%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 1.5
79.69%
▲
(+0.25)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5
76.67%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
23.33%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
42.72%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
57.28%
▲
(+0.20)
Score analysis
Botswana
21.51%
Draw
26.7%
Egypt
51.78%
Botswana
1-0
@
8.45%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.51%
2-1 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.51%
Draw
1-1
@
12.29%
0-0 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 26.7%
0-0 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 26.7%
Egypt
0-1
@
14.76%
▲
(+0.13)
0-2 @ 10.74% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 51.78%
0-2 @ 10.74% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 51.78%