Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Francistown Stadium

Botswana
0 - 4
Egypt

Majafi (50'), Mangolo (77')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Trezeguet (5', 29'), Salah (56'), Fathi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Botswana and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Botswana
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Egypt

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Cape Verde
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
Botswana	Draw	Egypt
21.51% ( -0.1)	26.71% ( 0.07)	51.79% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 43.34% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.09% (

-0.34)

59.91% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.83% (

-0.26)

80.17% (

0.25)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.52% (

-0.3)

43.48% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.31% (

-0.25)

79.69% (

0.25)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.67% (

-0.13)

23.33% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.72% (

-0.19)

57.28% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Botswana 21.51%

Egypt 51.78%

Draw 26.7%

Botswana	Draw	Egypt
1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.51%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 14.76% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.74% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 51.78%