World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 21, 2025 at 9pm UK

Stade Larbi Zaouli

Ethiopia
0 - 2
Egypt

FT(HT: 0-2)

Salah (31'), Sayed (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ethiopia and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Congo DR 1-2 Ethiopia
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Egypt

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Botswana
Tuesday, November 19 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 9.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.21%) and 0-3 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.32%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Egypt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	Egypt
9.28% ( -0.14)	20.47% ( -0.19)	70.25% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 33.65% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.32% (

0.31)

57.68% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.56% (

0.25)

78.44% (

-0.24)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.81% (

-0.12)

60.18% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.25% (

-0.06)

90.74% (

0.06)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.51% (

0.22)

15.49% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.63% (

0.4)

44.37% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 9.28%

Egypt 70.24%

Draw 20.47%

Ethiopia	Draw	Egypt
1-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.1% Total : 9.28%	0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.47%	0-1 @ 17.38% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 16.21% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 10.08% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 70.24%