Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.21%) and 0-3 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.32%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Egypt in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Egypt.