World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 9, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi

Djibouti
1 - 1
Ethiopia

Dadzie (29')
Mohamed Aden (25'), Mohamed (87'), Mouktar Youssouf (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wondimu Dibaba (31')
Tafesse (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Djibouti and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Djibouti

Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-1 Djibouti
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Ethiopia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Ethiopia
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Djibouti win it was 1-0 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Djibouti	Draw	Ethiopia
20.49% ( -2.33)	23.83% ( 0.02)	55.67% ( 2.3)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

-3.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.51% (

-2.72)

50.49% (

2.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.58% (

-2.46)

72.41% (

2.46)

Djibouti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.88% (

-3.82)

39.12% (

3.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.16% (

-3.78)

75.83% (

3.77)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01% (

-0.16)

17.98% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.16% (

-0.27)

48.83% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Djibouti 20.49%

Ethiopia 55.66%

Draw 23.82%

Djibouti	Draw	Ethiopia
1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.38) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.42% Total : 20.49%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.51) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.82%	0-1 @ 12.06% ( 1.21) 0-2 @ 10.35% ( 0.99) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.54) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.66%