Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 4, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Pascal Gaudence Msindo 67' yellowcard
  • Novatus Dismas 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bereket Wolde Waza 30'

Tanzania vs Ethiopia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

All competitions

Ethiopia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.07%) and 2-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 0-1 (13.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result

Tanzania 35.82% (+1.65)
Draw 30.66% (-0.26)
Ethiopia 33.51% (-1.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.4% (+0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 32.87% (+0.73)
Under 2.5 67.13% (-0.73)
Over 3.5 14.64% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 85.35% (-0.49)
Over 4.5 5.44% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 94.55% (-0.25)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5 64.37% (+1.55)
Under 0.5 35.63% (-1.55)
Over 1.5 27.6% (+1.56)
Under 1.5 72.39% (-1.57)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5 62.76% (-0.59)
Under 0.5 37.23% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 25.98% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 74.02% (+0.58)

Score analysis

Tanzania 35.82%
Draw 30.65%
Ethiopia 33.51%
Tanzania
1-0 @ 13.69% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 7.07% (+0.40)
2-1 @ 6.98% (+0.29)
3-0 @ 2.43% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 2.4% (+0.20)
3-2 @ 1.19% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 35.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.52% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 13.26% (-0.36)
2-2 @ 3.45% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.65%
Ethiopia
0-1 @ 13.1% (-0.58)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.39)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 33.51%