Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 4, 2024 at 5pm UK

Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Tanzania
0 - 0
Ethiopia

Gaudence Msindo (67'), Dismas (81')

Wolde Waza (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tanzania and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

All competitions

Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Ethiopia

All competitions

Last Game: Djibouti 1-1 Ethiopia
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.07%) and 2-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 0-1 (13.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Tanzania	Draw	Ethiopia
35.82% ( 1.65)	30.66% ( -0.26)	33.51% ( -1.39)

Both teams to score 40.4% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.87% (

0.72)

67.13% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.64% (

0.48)

85.35% (

-0.49)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.37% (

1.54)

35.63% (

-1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.6% (

1.56)

72.39% (

-1.57)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.76% (

-0.58)

37.23% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.98% (

-0.58)

74.02% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Tanzania 35.82%

Ethiopia 33.51%

Draw 30.65%

Tanzania	Draw	Ethiopia
1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.07% Total : 35.82%	1-1 @ 13.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 13.26% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.65%	0-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 33.51%