Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Nov 19, 2024 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote
  • Dylan Batubinsika 90'+3' goal
  • goal Bereket Wolde Waza 36'
  • yellowcard Yared Baye 78'
  • goal Mohammednur Nasir 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Mohammednur Nasir 90'+7'

Congo DR vs Ethiopia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 7.00pm
Guinea 1 - 0 Congo DR

Ethiopia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 4.00pm
Ethiopia 0 - 2 Tanzania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.42%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Congo DR 52.92% (+0.06)
Draw 27.84% (+0.01)
Ethiopia 19.23% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.95% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.64% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 65.36% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 15.86% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 84.14% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 6.07% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 93.93% (+0.02)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5 74.77% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.23% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.02% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.98% (-0.01)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5 50.75% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 49.24% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 15.87% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 84.13% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Congo DR 52.91%
Draw 27.84%
Ethiopia 19.23%
Congo DR
1-0 @ 17.1% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.78% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.41% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 52.91%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.42% (+0.02)
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 27.84%
Ethiopia
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.29% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.23%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 9, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Bereket Wolde Waza 17' yellowcard
  • Binyam Belay 71' yellowcard
  • Beneyam Belye Demte 71' yellowcard
  • goal Theo Bongonda 62'
  • goal Fiston Mayele 76'