Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote

Congo DR
1 - 2
Ethiopia

Batubinsika (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wolde Waza (36'), Nasir (90+6')
Baye (78'), Nasir (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo DR and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Congo DR
Saturday, November 16 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Ethiopia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Tanzania
Saturday, November 16 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.42%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Ethiopia
52.92% ( 0.06)	27.84% ( 0)	19.23% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 37.95% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.64% (

-0.06)

65.36% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.86% (

-0.04)

84.14% (

0.04)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

25.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.02% (

59.98% (

-0)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.75% (

-0.1)

49.24% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.87% (

-0.08)

84.13% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Congo DR 52.91%

Ethiopia 19.23%

Draw 27.84%

Congo DR	Draw	Ethiopia
1-0 @ 17.1% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 52.91%	0-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 27.84%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.23%