Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 2pm UK

Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Tanzania
0 - 2
Congo DR

FT(HT: 0-0)

Elia (88', 90+4')
Bongonda (64'), Sadiki (82'), Mayele (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Tanzania and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Tanzania
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Congo DR

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Tanzania
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (6.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.8%), while for a Tanzania win it was 1-0 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.

Result
Tanzania	Draw	Congo DR
20.24% ( -0.03)	32.2% ( 0.01)	47.56% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 30.78% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

24.95% (

-0.04)

75.05% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

9.7% (

-0.02)

90.3% (

0.02)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.87% (

-0.06)

54.13% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.64% (

-0.04)

87.35% (

0.04)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1% (

-0.01)

32.9% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.53% (

-0.01)

69.47% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Tanzania 20.24%

Congo DR 47.55%

Draw 32.19%

Tanzania	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 20.24%	0-0 @ 17.8% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 32.19%	0-1 @ 19.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.55%