Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Theo Bongonda
64'
-
Noah Sadiki
82'
-
Meschak Elia
88'
-
Fiston Mayele
90'+1'
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Meschak Elia
90'+4'
Tanzania vs Congo DR - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (6.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.8%), while for a Tanzania win it was 1-0 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.
Result
Tanzania
20.24%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
32.2%
▲
(+0.01)
Congo DR
47.56%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
30.78%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
24.95%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
75.05%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
9.7%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
90.3%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
3.13%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
96.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5
45.87%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
54.13%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
12.64%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
87.35%
▲
(+0.04)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5
67.1%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
32.9%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
30.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
69.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Tanzania
20.24%
Draw
32.19%
Congo DR
47.55%
Tanzania
1-0
@
10.93%
2-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 20.24%
2-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 20.24%
Draw
0-0
@
17.8%
▲
(+0.02)
1-1 @ 12.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 32.19%
1-1 @ 12.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 32.19%
Congo DR
0-1
@
19.79%
▲
(+0.02)
0-2 @ 11% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 47.55%
0-2 @ 11% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 47.55%