World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor

Senegal
1 - 1
Congo DR

Sarr (45+1')
Niakhate (68'), Gueye (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mayele (85')
Elia (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Senegal and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Benin
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Congo DR

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Congo DR (6-5 pen.)
Saturday, February 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Senegal	Draw	Congo DR
59.28% ( -0.75)	25.36% ( 0.42)	15.36% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 37.48% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.64% (

-0.82)

62.36% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18% (

-0.6)

82% (

0.61)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8% (

-0.63)

21.2% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.92% (

-0.99)

54.08% (

0.99)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.56% (

-0.01)

52.44% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.71% (

-0.01)

86.29% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Senegal 59.27%

Congo DR 15.36%

Draw 25.36%

Senegal	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 17.24% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 59.27%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.28% Total : 15.36%