Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Benin had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.1%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.