Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 11.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.38%) and 3-0 (7.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.88%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 22.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.