Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote

Congo DR
1 - 0
Tanzania

Franses Mzize (54' og.)
Mbemba (46'), Essende (68'), Moutoussamy (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Salum (23'), Job (79'), Saadun Hamoud (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo DR and Tanzania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Congo DR
Monday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Tanzania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea 1-2 Tanzania
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 11.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.38%) and 3-0 (7.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.88%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 22.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Tanzania
60.69% ( 0.45)	27.45% ( -0.32)	11.85% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 27.13% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

27.99% (

0.53)

72% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.51% (

0.32)

88.49% (

-0.33)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

0.45)

24.87% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51% (

0.62)

59.48% (

-0.63)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.11% (

0.11)

63.88% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.49% (

0.05)

92.51% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Congo DR 60.69%

Tanzania 11.85%

Draw 27.44%

Congo DR	Draw	Tanzania
1-0 @ 22.1% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 15.38% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 60.69%	0-0 @ 15.88% ( -0.32) 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.85%