Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de Yamoussoukro

Guinea
1 - 2
Tanzania

Bayo (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Salum (61'), Yahya (88')
Charles Balua (25'), Hamad (36'), Mwaikenda (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea and Tanzania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Guinea
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Tanzania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Tanzania 0-0 Ethiopia
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 69.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 9.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.39%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.24%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Tanzania
69.17% ( -0.07)	21.38% ( 0.06)	9.45% ( 0)

Both teams to score 32.22% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.82% (

-0.18)

60.18% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.62% (

-0.14)

80.38% (

0.14)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.29% (

-0.09)

16.71% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.39% (

-0.16)

46.61% (

0.16)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.68% (

-0.1)

61.31% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.69% (

-0.05)

91.31% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Guinea 69.16%

Tanzania 9.45%

Draw 21.37%

Guinea	Draw	Tanzania
1-0 @ 18.33% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 16.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 69.16%	0-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.37%	0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.02% Total : 9.45%