Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 69.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 9.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.39%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.24%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.