Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote

Congo DR
1 - 0
Guinea

Kayembe (27')
Masuaku (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

M (61'), Masuaku (76'), Diakite (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo DR and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Togo
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Guinea

All competitions

Last Game: Guinea 0-1 Mozambique
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Guinea
48.45% ( -0.19)	28.46% ( 0.06)	23.09% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 40.73% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.83% (

-0.1)

64.17% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.69% (

-0.07)

83.31% (

0.07)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

-0.14)

26.82% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

-0.19)

62.11% (

0.19)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.65% (

0.07)

44.34% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.59% (

0.05)

80.4% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Congo DR 48.44%

Guinea 23.09%

Draw 28.45%

Congo DR	Draw	Guinea
1-0 @ 15.65% 2-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 48.44%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.45%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.09%