Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)

Guinea
1 - 0
Congo DR

Guirassy (90+2')
Sylla (37')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Elia (21'), Kayembe (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ethiopia 0-3 Guinea
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Congo DR

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Congo DR
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.07%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Congo DR
49.11% ( 0.19)	29.06% ( 0.11)	21.82% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 38.19% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.27% (

-0.5)

66.73% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.92% (

-0.34)

85.08% (

0.34)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

-0.15)

27.71% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.72% (

-0.19)

63.28% (

0.19)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.83% (

-0.62)

47.17% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.38% (

-0.47)

82.62% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Guinea 49.1%

Congo DR 21.82%

Draw 29.06%

Guinea	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 16.77% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 49.1%	0-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.24) 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.06%	0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.47% Total : 21.82%