Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Olympique de Nouakchott

Mauritania
0 - 1
Egypt

Kamara (36'), Ndiaga Yade (45+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Adel (85')
Eid (71'), Attia (72'), Trezeguet (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mauritania and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Mauritania
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Egypt

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Mauritania
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.45%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Egypt in this match.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Egypt
14.17% ( -0.71)	23.01% ( -0.21)	62.82% ( 0.91)

Both teams to score 40.64% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.46% (

-0.43)

56.54% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.47% (

-0.35)

77.52% (

0.34)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.33% (

-1.3)

50.66% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.89% (

-0.9)

85.11% (

0.9)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.38% (

0.17)

17.61% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.8% (

0.29)

48.19% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 14.17%

Egypt 62.81%

Draw 23%

Mauritania	Draw	Egypt
1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.46% Total : 14.17%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.44% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 15.49% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 13.45% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 7.79% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 62.81%