Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.45%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Egypt in this match.