Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2024 at 4pm UK

Orlando Stadium

Zimbabwe
1 - 1
Kenya

Maswanhise (32')
Garananga (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ayunga (52')
Omar (29'), Omurwa (29'), Saramu Momanyi (59'), Momanyi (59'), Nondi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Zimbabwe and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zimbabwe

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Zimbabwe 3-1 Namibia
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Kenya

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Kenya 0-1 Cameroon
Monday, October 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Zimbabwe	Draw	Kenya
21.85% ( 0.72)	25.21% ( 0.62)	52.94% ( -1.34)

Both teams to score 47.75% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.67% (

-1.6)

54.33% (

1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.29% (

-1.35)

75.71% (

1.35)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.08% (

-0.17)

39.92% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.42% (

-0.16)

76.57% (

0.16)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48% (

-1.16)

20.52% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.98% (

-1.87)

53.02% (

1.88)

Score Analysis

Zimbabwe 21.85%

Kenya 52.94%

Draw 25.2%

Zimbabwe	Draw	Kenya
1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.85%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 10.27% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.55% Total : 52.94%