Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Orlando Stadium

Namibia
1 - 2
Kenya

Hotto (90+5')
Hambira (20'), Katua (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Avire (58'), Abuya (76')
Chris Onyango (15'), Akumu (36'), Avire (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Namibia and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Namibia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Cameroon 1-0 Namibia
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Kenya

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Zimbabwe
Friday, September 6 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 2-1 (6.91%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (13.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.

Result
Namibia	Draw	Kenya
35.94% ( -1.58)	30.94% ( 0.44)	33.12% ( 1.14)

Both teams to score 39.67% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.03% (

-1.17)

67.97% (

1.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.08% (

-0.79)

85.91% (

0.78)

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99% (

-1.69)

36.01% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21% (

-1.77)

72.79% (

1.76)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62% (

0.18)

38% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.23% (

0.17)

74.77% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Namibia 35.93%

Kenya 33.12%

Draw 30.93%

Namibia	Draw	Kenya
1-0 @ 13.97% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 2% Total : 35.93%	0-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.58) 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.93%	0-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.68% Total : 33.12%