Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2024 at 2pm UK

Mandela National Stadium

Kenya
0 - 0
Zimbabwe

Odada (51')

Billiat (23'), Takwara (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Kenya and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions

Last Game: Kenya 2-0 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, July 2 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Zimbabwe

All competitions

Last Game: Kenya 2-0 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, July 2 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Kenya win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Kenya	Draw	Zimbabwe
28.79% ( -0.05)	28.26% ( 0.01)	42.95% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 45.25% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.43% (

-0.04)

60.57% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.33% (

-0.03)

80.67% (

0.03)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8% (

-0.06)

37.19% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02% (

-0.06)

73.98% (

0.07)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05% (

0.01)

27.95% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.42% (

0.01)

63.58% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kenya 28.79%

Zimbabwe 42.94%

Draw 28.25%

Kenya	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 28.79%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 42.94%