Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Richard Odada
51'
-
Khama Billiat
23'
-
Gerald Takwara
65'
Kenya vs Zimbabwe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Kenya win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result
Kenya
28.79%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
28.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Zimbabwe
42.95%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
45.25%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.43%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
60.57%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
19.33%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
80.67%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
7.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
92.04%
▲
(+0.02)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5
62.8%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
37.19%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
26.02%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
73.98%
▲
(+0.07)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5
72.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
27.95%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
36.42%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
63.58%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Kenya
28.79%
Draw
28.25%
Zimbabwe
42.94%
Kenya
1-0
@
10.28%
2-1 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 28.79%
2-1 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 28.79%
Draw
1-1
@
13.1%
0-0 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.25%
0-0 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.25%
Zimbabwe
0-1
@
13.25%
▲
(+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 42.94%
0-2 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 42.94%
