COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 2, 2024 at 11am UK

Wolfson Stadium

Kenya
2 - 0
Zimbabwe

Odhiambo (54'), Omala (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Banda (88')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Kenya and Zimbabwe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: Kenya 0-2 Comoros
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Zimbabwe

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: Zambia 0-2 Zimbabwe
Sunday, June 30 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Kenya win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Kenya	Draw	Zimbabwe
34.81% ( -2.01)	27.18% ( 0.13)	38.01% ( 1.88)

Both teams to score 50.24% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82% (

-0.59)

55.18% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58% (

-0.48)

76.42% (

0.48)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91% (

-1.52)

30.09% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78% (

-1.87)

66.22% (

1.87)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.86% (

0.84)

28.14% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.18% (

1.05)

63.82% (

-1.04)

Score Analysis

Kenya 34.8%

Zimbabwe 38.01%

Draw 27.18%

Kenya	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.8%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.01%