Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 14, 2024 at 2pm UK

Mandela National Stadium

Kenya
0 - 1
Cameroon

Abuya (26'), Otieno Omija (58'), Odada (76'), Otieno (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Enow (63')
Castelletto (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Kenya and Cameroon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Cameroon 4-1 Kenya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Cameroon

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Cameroon 4-1 Kenya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.69%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.07%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 18.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cameroon in this match.

Result
Kenya	Draw	Cameroon
15.02% ( -0.01)	26.78% ( 0)	58.2% ( 0)

Both teams to score 33.96% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.27% (

-0.02)

66.73% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.92% (

-0.01)

85.08% (

0.02)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.41% (

-0.02)

55.6% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.77% (

-0.01)

88.23% (

0.02)

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

-0.01)

23.51% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

-0.01)

57.55% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Kenya 15.02%

Cameroon 58.19%

Draw 26.77%

Kenya	Draw	Cameroon
1-0 @ 7.67% 2-1 @ 3.26% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 15.02%	0-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 18.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 13.69% 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 58.19%