Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.69%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.07%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 18.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cameroon in this match.