Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Omnisports

Cameroon
4 - 1
Kenya

Aboubakar (8' pen.), Hongla (39'), Mbeumo (43'), Bassogog (55')
Ndzie (74')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Olunga (41')
Nondi (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Cameroon and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cameroon

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Zimbabwe 0-0 Cameroon
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Kenya

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Namibia 1-2 Kenya
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 13.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.34%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.28%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result
Cameroon	Draw	Kenya
61.96% ( -0.08)	24.6% ( 0.02)	13.44% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 35.39% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.23% (

0.03)

62.76% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.7% (

0.02)

82.29% (

-0.02)

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

-0.02)

20.3% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32% (

-0.03)

52.67% (

0.03)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.41% (

0.12)

55.58% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.77% (

0.07)

88.23% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Cameroon 61.95%

Kenya 13.44%

Draw 24.59%

Cameroon	Draw	Kenya
1-0 @ 17.99% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 14.34% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 61.95%	0-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 13.44%