Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Vincent Aboubakar
8'
-
Martin Hongla
39'
-
Bryan Mbeumo
43'
-
Christian Bassogog
55'
-
Martin Ndzie
74'
-
Amos Nondi
30'
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Michael Olunga
41'
Cameroon vs Kenya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.34%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.28%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.
Result
Cameroon
61.96%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
24.6%
▲
(+0.03)
Kenya
13.44%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
35.39%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
37.23%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
62.76%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
17.7%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
82.29%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
7.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
92.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5
79.69%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
20.3%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
47.32%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
52.67%
▲
(+0.03)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5
44.41%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
55.58%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
11.77%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
88.23%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Cameroon
61.95%
Draw
24.59%
Kenya
13.44%
Cameroon
1-0
@
17.99%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 14.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 61.95%
2-0 @ 14.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 61.95%
Draw
0-0
@
11.28%
▼
(-0.01)
1-1 @ 10.56% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.59%
1-1 @ 10.56% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.59%
Kenya
0-1
@
6.63%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 13.44%
1-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 13.44%